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Establishment of the Real Estate Bubble Warning Indicator System and Early Warning

机译:建立房地产泡沫警告指示器系统及预警

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In recent years, the demands for buying a house are suppressed by the rising and high housing price in the property market. The industry and educational circles have the question that whether the housing price is reasonable or not. Researchers should urgently investigate the existence of the property market bubble? If there is, researchers should know whether the bubble will be an economic threat. Perfect bubble warning mechanism could prevent the huge real estate bubble and a tremendous impact on our economic security. Based on this, this paper arranges, analyzes and summarizes the evaluation of the real estate bubble index; then studies the property market in Ningbo City, makes the measurement and analysis of single indicator, and builds a comprehensive system of early warning indicators by principal component analysis. At last, the paper gets the development status of property market according to the comprehensive early warning indicator.
机译:近年来,购买房屋的需求受到房地产市场上涨和高住房价格的抑制。行业和教育界有问题是房价是否合理。研究人员应迫切地调查房地产市场泡沫的存在吗?如果有的话,研究人员应该知道泡沫是否将是经济威胁。完美的泡沫预警机制可以防止巨大的房地产泡沫和对我们经济安全的巨大影响。基于此,本文安排,分析和总结了对房地产泡沫指数的评价;然后研究宁波市的房地产市场,通过主成分分析,进行单一指标的测量和分析,并通过主成分分析建立全面的预警指标系统。最后,本文根据全面的预警指标获得了物业市场的发展现状。

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