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Anticipating Stock Market Movements with Google and Wikipedia

机译:预期谷歌和维基百科的股票市场运动

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Many of the trading decisions that have led to financial crises are captured by vast, detailed stock market datasets. Here, we summarize two of our recent studies which investigate whether Internet usage data contain traces of attempts to gather information before such trading decisions were taken. By analyzing changes in how often Internet users searched for financially related information on Google (Preis et al., Sci Rep 3∶1684, 2013) and Wikipedia (Moat et al., Sci Rep 3∶1801, 2013), patterns are found that may be interpreted as "early warning signs" of stock market moves. Our results suggest that online data may allow us to gain new insight into early information gathering stages of economic decision making.
机译:许多导致金融危机的交易决策都被广阔,详细的股票市场数据集捕获。在这里,我们总结了我们最近的两个研究,该研究旨在调查互联网使用数据是否包含在采取此类交易决策之前收集信息的痕迹。通过分析互联网用户在谷歌搜索经济相关信息的情况下进行的变化(Preis等,SCI rep 3:1684,2013)和维基百科(Moat等,SCI Rep 3:1801,2013),是指的可能被解释为股票市场的“预警标志”。我们的研究结果表明,在线数据可能允许我们进入新的洞察经济决策的早期信息收集阶段。

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