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Chapter 7 Innovative Group Decision Making Framework for Sustainable Management of Regional Hydro-Systems

机译:第7章区域水电系统可持续管理框架创新集团决策

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This paper proposes innovative group decision making framework for the sustainable management of regional hydro-systems. It is based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) philosophy and two conceptually different models of treating decision making problem in group framework without and with consensus. Typical hydro-system in Serbia is used as a case study to demonstrate how different aggregation schemes influence resulting group decision(s). Different from our earlier work (Srdjevic and Srdjevic, Sustainable use and development of watersheds. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 201-213, 2008), here the group of twelve individuals participated in evaluation of five water uses of the hydro-system. Weight of each decision maker in the group is defined according to his/her demonstrated consistency and used as an input to the aggregation process to derive group decision(s). Differences in ranking water uses obtained without consensus and with consensus indicated importance of selecting proper aggregation scheme. We recommend application of a consensus based aggregation method because each participating individual has a 'vote' which counts in the final decision, so dominance is at least reduced (if not fully excluded), and finally, the final decision is expectably acceptable for all participants at the end of process.
机译:本文提出了区域水力系统可持续管理的创新组决策框架。它基于分析层次处理(AHP)哲学和两种概念上不同模型的群体框架处理问题,没有达成共识。塞尔维亚典型的水力系统被用作案例研究,以证明如何影响结果群决策的不同聚集计划。与我们之前的工作不同(SRDJEvic和SrdJevic,可持续利用和流域的开发。Springer,Dordrecht,PP 201-213,2008),这一组十二人参加了对水力系统五次用水的评估。本集团中每个决策者的权重根据他/她的展示一致性定义,并用作派生群决策的聚合过程的输入。未经共识的不达成的排名用水量,并达成共识表明,选择适当的聚合计划的重要性。我们建议申请基于共识的聚合方法,因为每个参与的个人都有“投票”,这是最终决定的“投票”,因此占优势至少减少(如果没有完全被排除),最后,所有参与者都可以接受最终决定在进程结束时。

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