Predictive Environment Carrying Capacity Assessment of Marine Reclamation by Prediction of Multiple Numerical Model

摘要

The environment carrying capacity assessment of marine reclamation has an influence of improving the level of environmental impact evaluation. In this paper, a predictive comprehensive environmental carrying capacity of marine reclamation by the prediction of multiple numerical models and methods is proposed. In the proposed method, the hydrodynamics model, water exchange model, suspend solids diffusion model, sediment model and ecological loss equation are used to calculate the changed amount and ration of relative indexes. A cloud theory model is applied to evaluate the comprehensive environment carrying capacity. Case study is carried out in Caofeidian marine district, Tangshan Bay, China. The assessment results show that the proposed method is suitable to study the comprehensive environment carrying capacity influencing by the marine reclamation.