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Prediction of upcoming grand episodes of solar activity

机译:预测即将到来的太阳能活动盛大集

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Sunspots are active regions on the surface of the Sun having strong magnetic fields. Activity level of the Sun shows long-time scale phenomena known as grand episodes-Grand maxima and Grand minima. Present study examines grand episodes shown by sunspot numbers (1090-2017), using methods of wavelet transform and sinusoidal regression. Time interval analysed includes two grand maxima and four grand minima. Interval in between grand episodes are regular oscillations. Phase changes found from periodicity analysis clearly show the presence of upcoming grand episodes. The forthcoming grand episodes are suggested to be two grand minima which are likely to occur between the years 2100-2160 and 2220-2300.
机译:太阳黑子是太阳表面的活动区域,具有强磁场。太阳的活动水平显示了称为盛大剧集的长期规模现象 - 大剧集和大型最小值。目前的研究审查了Sunspot Numbers(1090-2017)所示的盛大集,使用小波变换和正弦回归的方法。分析的时间间隔包括两个大型最大值和四个大型最小值。盛大剧集之间的间隔是常规振荡。从周期性分析中发现的相变明确显示了即将到来的大集中的存在。即将举行的大剧集被建议是两个大型最小值,可能发生在2100-2160和2220-2300之间。

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