Research on Safety levels in the Chinese Construction Materials Industry based on Gray model forecasting

摘要

This paper illustrated the Safety levels in the Chinese Construction Materials Industry (CMMI) during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan. By establishing gray system model, the index of CCMI, such as supply, demand, import, export, and so on, were forecasted. Based on the Index system of CCMI safety that is used to investigate the safety levels, these predicted data were analyzed. Our results show that there is a danger that CCMI safety will be reduced during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan, mainly because of overdependence on exports and lack of international competitiveness. Finally, the paper discusses how to improve CCMI safety during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan.