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Strategies for Teaching Travel Time Uncertainty Modeling

机译:教学旅行时间不确定性建模的策略

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Uncertainty is an essential factor in transportation: for example, one cannot predict exactly the travel time from home to work. Conventional transportation pedagogy is mainly focused on modeling deterministic situations because of the complex mathematics required for modeling uncertainty. We develop a framework for effectively teaching uncertainty modeling in transportation using the example of travel time uncertainty. The objective is for students to appreciate the significance of incorporating uncertainty in planning without resorting to lengthy and intimidating mathematics. The framework that is developed contains strategies for introducing travel time uncertainty, method for appreciating the impact of the uncertainty, approaches of modeling the uncertainty in planning problems, projects for students to practice, and assessment tasks.
机译:不确定性是运输的必不可数要因素:例如,一个人无法预测从家中工作的行程时间。传统的运输教育学主要集中在模拟确定性情况上,因为建模不确定性所需的复杂数学。我们使用旅行时间不确定性的示例,制定有效地在运输中教学不确定性建模的框架。目标是学生介绍在不渴望漫长和恐吓数学的情况下在规划中纳入不确定性的重要性。开发的框架包含引入旅行时间不确定性的策略,欣赏不确定性的影响,建模规划问题中的不确定性的方法,学生练习的项目,以及评估任务。

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