Multi-Objective Optimization Analysis of Post-Fukushima Power Generation Planning in Japan with Considering Nuclear Power's Risk Cost

摘要

In the present study, multi-objective optimization analysis was conducted on the post-Fukushima power generation planning in Japan up to 2030 from economic and environmental perspectives with considering nuclear power's risk cost. Four nuclear power scenarios were proposed in light of the nuclear accident. The obtained results show that the large scale penetration of PV (photovoltaic), wind and LNG (liquefied natural gas) power can partly replace nuclear power, however, removing nuclear power entirely by 2030 was not suggested from economic, environmental and energy security perspectives.