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Chaos and Organizational Emergence: Towards Short Term Predictive Modeling to Navigate a Way Out of Chaos

机译:混乱和组织出现:走出短暂预测建模,以便离开混乱

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Organizational emergence from chaotic events has often been described as unpredictable and random, at least when observed over the long term. Through a literature review this paper paves the path for the possible development of a forecasting model for making short term predictions during chaotic events so as to assist business practitioners in navigating their way out of chaos, thereby facilitating organizational emergence. As such, the paper builds on chaos and complexity theory, as its foundational theory, and identifies the most important factors and mechanisms cited in current literature that influence organizational emergence so as to potentially incorporate the factors in the future development of a short term forecasting model.
机译:混乱事件的组织出现往往被描述为不可预测和随机,至少在长期观察到。通过文献综述本文铺平了在混沌事件中制定短期预测的预测模型的路径,以帮助商业从业人员在开除混乱中导航,从而促进组织出现。因此,本文在混乱和复杂性理论上建立了基于其基础理论,并确定了当前文献中引用的最重要的因素和机制,这些因素和机制引用了影响组织出现的,以便可能纳入未来的短期预测模型的因素。

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