Research on Risk Assessment of Reservoir by AHP-Fuzzy Comprehensive Analysis Method

摘要

Because of the fuzziness and uncertainty of risk factors in the risk management, using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for research. The model not only identifies the main risk factors of the dam, spillway, and water facility, but also quantifies the influence weight by risk factors on dangerous reservoir. The affiliate degrees of risk factors on risk level can be get on the basis of membership function. So the final overall risk level of the dam, spillway, and water facility is able to compare. It will be set the priority to reinforcement measures for dangerous reservoir.