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Approach to Forecasting Occurrence of Slope Failure with Nonlinear Dynamical System

机译:非线性动力系统坡度故障发生的方法

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Landslides constitute a major geologic hazard because they are widespread and commonly occur in connection with other major natural disasters such as earthquakes, rainstorms, wildfires and floods. Nonlinear dynamical system (NDS) techniques have been developed to analyze chaotic time series data. According to NDS theory, the correlation dimension and predictable time scale are evaluated from a single observed time series. The Xintan landslide case study is presented to demonstrate that chaos exists in the evolution of a landslide and the predictable time scale must be considered. The possibility for long-term, medium-term and short-term prediction of landslide is discussed.
机译:Landslides构成了一个主要的地质危害,因为它们是普遍的,并且通常与其他主要的自然灾害有关,如地震,暴雨,野火和洪水。已经开发了非线性动力系统(NDS)技术来分析混沌时间序列数据。根据NDS理论,从单个观察时间序列评估相关维度和可预测的时间尺度。提出了新坦滑坡案例研究表明,在滑坡的演变中存在混乱,并且必须考虑可预测的时间尺度。讨论了长期,中期和短期预测滑坡的可能性。

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