Estimating Potential Yield of Wheat Production in China Based on Cross-scale Data-model Fusion

摘要

The response of the agro-ecological system to the environment includes the response of individual crop's physiological process and the adaption of the crop community to the environment and its change. Observation and simulation at the single scale level cannot fully explain the above process. It is necessary to develop cross-scale agro-ecological models and study the interaction of agro-ecological processes across different scales. Two typical agro-ecological models (DSSAT and AEZ) are employed in this study and a framework for effective cross-scale data-model and model-model fusion is proposed and illustrated based on the application of DSSAT and AEZ models. The site-specific crop model is up-scaled by using this data-model fusion method, observed data from 36 different agricultural observation stations nationwide and historical weather stations observations (1962-1990) are employed and average crop productivity are estimated. Comparison of the estimation results shows the major consistency across the two models and also indicates specific directions for further improvement. This would help the future efforts in cross-scale crop model fusion.