Analysis of Meteorological Elements Variations of Chongqing over the Past 60 Years

摘要

The power of a test is the probability that it cannot reject a null hypothesis when it is true. With interchangeably of non-parametric Mann-Kendall test, practical application is used in meteorological elements analysis. In this study, trend detection of meteorological elements data of Shapingba district in Chongqing, during 1951 to 2011, was estimated by non-parametric Mann-Kendall test. The analyzed elements are composed by mean precipitation, annual sunshine hours, annual humidity, annual mean temperature and annual mean wind speed. And the results show that inter-annual variations of precipitation and mean annual relative humidity are not significant. However, inter-annual variation of sunshine duration is significantly reduced, while inter-annual temperature and wind speed are significantly increased. At the same time, the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test also detects the trend on seasonal data. It is different from the annual data, and trends in different seasons show markedly different.