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Application of Grey Prediction Model in Rural Informatization Construction

机译:灰色预测模型在农村信息化建设中的应用

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Grey system theory has been widely applied to many domains such as economy, biology, agriculture, control and so on. Based on the theory of grey system, this paper established GM(1,1) grey predict model for the first time to forecast Chinese every hundred rural households owned computers and every hundred rural households owned mobile phone. The predicting results are almost close to the actual values, and this shows that the model is reliable. Finally, these models are used to forecast the two factors in the future years. The research provides a new scientific method for predicting rural informatization development.
机译:灰色系统理论已广泛应用于许多域,如经济,生物学,农业,控制等。基于灰色系统理论,本文建立了GM(1,1)灰色预测模型首次预测中国每百名农村家庭拥有的计算机和每百名农户拥有手机。预测结果几乎接近实际值,这表明该模型是可靠的。最后,这些模型用于预测未来几年的两个因素。该研究为预测​​农村信息化发展提供了一种新的科学方法。

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