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PROBABILISTIC NEURAL NETWORKS FOR CREDIT RATING MODELLING

机译:信用评级建模的概率神经网络

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This paper presents the modelling possibilities of probabilistic neural networks to a complex real-world problem, i.e. credit rating modelling. First, current approaches in credit rating modelling are introduced. Then, probabilistic neural networks are designed to classify US companies and municipalities into rating classes. The input variables are extracted from financial statements and statistical reports in line with previous studies. These variables represent the inputs of probabilistic neural networks, while the rating classes from Standard & Poor's and Moody's rating agencies stand for the outputs. Classification accuracies, misclassification costs, and the contributions of input variables are studied for probabilistic neural networks compared to other neural networks models. The results show that the rating classes assigned to bond issuers can be classified accurately with probabilistic neural networks using a limited subset of input variables.
机译:本文介绍了概率神经网络到复杂的真实问题的建模可能性,即信用评级建模。首先,介绍了信用评级建模中的电流方法。然后,概率神经网络旨在将美国公司和市政当局分类为评级课程。输入变量从财务报表和统计报告中提取,符合以前的研究。这些变量代表了概率神经网络的输入,而标准普及和穆迪的评级代理等级课程代表着输出。与其他神经网络模型相比,对概率神经网络研究了分类精度,错误分类成本和输入变量的贡献。结果表明,分配给债券发行人员的评级类别可以使用有限的输入变量的概率神经网络准确分类。

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