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Short-Term Wind Energy ForecastingUsing Support Vector Regression

机译:短期风能预测支持向量回归

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Wind energy prediction has an important part to play in a smart energygrid for load balancing and capacity planning. In this paper we explore, if windmeasurements based on the existing infrastructure of windmills in neighbored windparks can be learned with a soft computing approach for wind energy prediction inthe ten-minute to six-hour range. For this sake we employ Support Vector Regres-sion (SVR) for time series forecasting, and run experimental analyses on real-worldwind data from the NREL western wind resource dataset. In the experimental partof the paper we concentrate on loss function parameterization of SVR. We try toanswer how far ahead a reliable wind forecast is possible, and how much informa-tion from the past is necessary. We demonstrate the capabilities of SVR-based windenergy forecast on the micro-scale level of one wind grid point, and on the largerscale of a whole wind park.
机译:风能预测有一个重要的部分,可以在智能EnergyGrid中发挥负载平衡和容量规划。在本文中,我们探索,如果基于现有的风车的风车的现有基础设施的风度测量可以通过软化计算方法来学习,用于风能预测的型风能预测,占地面积为10分钟至六小时。为此,我们使用支持载体Regres-Sion(SVR)用于时间序列预测,并在NRER西风资源数据集中运行实际WorldWind数据的实验分析。在实验部分中,我们专注于SVR的损耗功能参数化。我们尝试在宣扬前方有可靠的风预测,以及过去的信息是多少。我们展示了基于SVR的Windenergy预测对一个风电网点的微尺度水平以及整个风园的大规模级别的能力。

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