Correlation Analysis and Comparison of the relationship of Economic Development and Carbon Emissions in Different Periods of China

摘要

Rapid economic development is the main driving factor for carbon emissions. In order to explain the relationship of economic development and carbon emissions, this paper cited the carbon emissions decomposition analysis model to estimate annual carbon emissions in China from 1978 to 2009, and analyzed the trends and characteristics of carbon emissions. On this basis, this paper adopted grey relational analysis method to calculate the correlation of economic development and carbon emissions in different periods. The results show that: from the perspective of carbon emissions growth rate, from 1996 to 2003, China saw the slowest growth in carbon emissions, while from 2003 to 2009, China saw the fastest growth in carbon emissions. From the perspective of the correlation of the economic development and carbon emissions, the maximum correlation period is from 1996 to 2003, while the minimum correlation period is from 1978 to 1996. Then this paper explained the reasons for the discrepancies, and brought forward some suggestions to reduce the carbon emissions of China.