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Fuel Economy Regulations and Technology Roadmaps of China and the US: Comparison and Outlook

机译:中国与美国燃料经济法规和技术路线数据:比较与展望

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摘要

In order to address the increasing energy and environmental concerns, China and the US both launched the fuel economy regulations and aim to push the development of technology. In this study, the stringency of CAFC and CAFE regulations and the technology development of two countries are compared. Besides, the optimal technology pathways of America and automakers for the compliance of CAFE regulations are calculated based on the modified VOLPE model, and the results are used as reference for China. The results indicate that the annual regulation improvement rates of China is higher than America and the AIR of China 2015-2020 regulation reaches 6.2% and is the most stringent phase in 10 years from 2015 to 2025. From the perspective of technology, there are still big gaps between China and the US in the applications of advanced fuel saving technologies. For both countries, engine still will plays the biggest role in the technology roadmap through 2025 and the contribution rates of electrification and vehicle assembly technologies will increase quickly. The 2020 targets can be reached by the improvement and optimization of existing fuel saving technologies, and 70% hybridization technologies should be introduced for the compliance of the 2025 regulation. The penetration of PHEV/EVs will be 2-3% of the passenger car fleet in MY 2025 and FCV is not necessary for the compliance of US 2025 CAFE target. However, new energy products still need to be prepared in China because of the implementation of dual-credit regulations of CAFC and NEV.
机译:为了解决中,中国和美国的越来越多的能源和环境问题,中国和美国都推出了燃油经济规定,并旨在推动技术的发展。在这项研究中,比较了CAFC和Cafe法规的严格性和两国的技术发展。此外,基于改进的Volpe模型计算了美国和汽车制造商的最佳技术途径,并根据改进的volpe模型计算,结果用作中国的参考。结果表明,中国的年度监管改善率高于美国,2015-2020法规的空中达到6.2%,从2015年到2025年的10年内最严格的阶段。从技术的角度来看,仍然存在中国与美国之间的大差距在先进的燃料储蓄技术中。对于这两个国家,发动机仍将在技术路线图中发挥最大的作用,通过2025,电气化和车辆组装技术的贡献率将迅速增加。通过改进和优化现有燃料技术的改善和优化,可以达到2020个靶标,应符合2025规则的符合要求70%的杂交技术。 PHEV / EVS的渗透率将是2025年的乘用车车队的2-3%,并且FCV不需要遵守US 2025咖啡馆目标。但是,由于CAFC和Nev的双信用法规,在中国仍需准备新的能源产品。

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