Prospect of energy-related carbon dioxide emission in China based on scenario analysis

摘要

Continually rapid economic growth and huge population cause a substantial increasing of energy demand in China, and coal-dominated energy structure have made China overtake the United States as the world's biggest producer of energy-related CO_2. Based on the projection of primary energy demand of China in the future, high, medium and low scenarios of carbon dioxide emissions are designed to forecast carbon dioxide emissions in China. Finally the forecasting result is compared with the similar prediction made by other research institutions, which provides basis for the further study on energy-related CO_2 emission reduction measure in China.