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The Predictions of Beijing Urban Distribution Amount Using Grey Model and Industrial Structure Analysis

机译:灰色模型与产业结构分析的北京城市分销金额预测

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In order to predict the Beijing urban distribution amount, a grey theory model is used in this paper. Based on the former study and the current situation of Beijing urban distribution system, the paper used gray theory model GM (1, 1) and qualitative analysis to predict the amount by using the samples of goods classification. Empirical results show that the freight of primary industry of Beijing remains generally stable, but some products increase. The freight of second industry go up and down. the freight of tertiary industry also increases. The gray prediction model can simulate and predict the scale and development trend of Beijing road freight, but it is needed to consider the new development trend.
机译:为了预测北京城市分销量,本文使用了灰色理论模型。基于前的研究和北京城市分销系统现状,本文采用灰色理论模型GM(1,1)和定性分析,通过使用商品分类样品来预测金额。经验结果表明,北京主要产业的运费仍然稳定,但有些产品增加。第二个行业的运费上下。第三产业的运费也增加了。灰色预测模型可以模拟和预测北京公路货运的规模和发展趋势,但需要考虑新的发展趋势。

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