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Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plant Project Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process in the Early Operation

机译:基于模糊分析层次过程的早期运行风险评估热电厂项目

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As the development of technology, the enterprises of our country have came into the stage of all-round risk management But there are still many problems in the initial stage of risk management about thermal power plant projects. This paper brings forward the concept of initial risk evaluation about constructive projects in thermal power plant, puts forward and builds the evaluation index system for the first time. Besides we develop traditional Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) using triangular fuzzy numbers according to the subjective fuzziness of experts' judging, so to solve the weight of index in each level. Integrated with the idiographic thermal power units, the risk level of the thermal project is evaluated according to the membership degree of risk.
机译:作为技术的发展,我国企业已经进入全方位风险管理的阶段,但在热电厂项目的风险管理初始阶段仍存在许多问题。本文提出了热电厂中建设性项目的初始风险评估的概念,第一次提出并建立了评估指标系统。除了根据专家判断的主观模糊数,我们使用三角模糊数开发传统的分析层次处理(AHP),从而解决每个级别的指数重量。与IDIographic热电部件集成,根据占风险的占额度评估热项目的风险等级。

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