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Sensitivity Analyses of Production and Recovery Forecasts Using Variance-Based Methods

机译:基于方差的方法的生产和恢复预测的敏感性分析

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During the exploratory stage of field development, reservoir data required for forecasting is often inadequate, and hence uncertain. An understanding of the scope and extent of uncertainty is invaluable in optimizing data gathering operations, planning of field facilities, and assessing exploration and development scenarios. Sensitivity Analysis (SA), the study of how the uncertainty in a model's outputs depends on the uncertainty in its inputs, provides such an understanding.
机译:在现场发展的探索阶段,预测所需的水库数据通常不足,因此不确定。 对不确定性的范围和范围的理解在优化数据收集运营,实地设施规划以及评估勘探和开发方案方面非常宝贵。 敏感性分析(SA),研究模型输出中的不确定性如何取决于其投入中的不确定性,提供了这种理解。

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