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Design of Experiments in Campaign Logistics Analysis

机译:竞选物流分析实验设计

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In integrated modeling and simulation of space exploration architectures and campaigns, the challenge is to effectively explore the breadth of the trade space while reaching sufficient depth to gain insight. The use of Design of Experiments (DOE) in this field can enable more efficient parametric studies thereby allowing more resources to be focused on detailed analysis of interesting cases. This paper presents an approach based on DOE with orthogonal arrays and presents a recent integrated modeling and trade study effort within the Constellation Program (CxP) Integrated Design Analysis Cycle (IDAC-3) as a case study~1. The DOE analysis showed that the three largest factors impacting the campaign cargo margins are spares demand uncertainty (K'-factor), lunar lander cargo capacity and consumables demand uncertainty. A related contingency analysis showed that once outpost construction is completed, from a logistics perspective the campaign can absorb failed cargo flights for up to 3 years (6 flights).
机译:在空间勘探架构和竞选综合建模和仿真中,挑战是有效探索贸易空间的广度,同时达到足够的深度来获得洞察力。在该领域中使用实验(DOE)的使用可以实现更高效的参数研究,从而允许更多资源集中在有趣情况的详细分析中。本文提出了一种基于与正交阵列的DOE的方法,并在星座计划(CXP)综合设计分析周期(IDAC-3)中提出了最近的综合建模和贸易研究,作为案例研究〜1。 DOE分析表明,影响活动货物边距的三个最大因素是备用需求不确定性(K'-FACTION),月球兰,货物能力和耗材需求不确定性。一个相关的应急分析显示,一旦汇率建设完成,从物流视角完成,该活动可以吸收失败的货运飞机长达3年(6个航班)。

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