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Pre-processing for missing data: A hybrid approach to air pollution prediction in Macau

机译:缺失数据的预处理:澳门空气污染预测的混合方法

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摘要

Recently, as an important issue in both urban and industrial areas due to the rapid development in economics, more and more conceptions in air pollution have been studied, and consequently forecasting the air pollution index (API) becomes increasingly important. In the past decades, researchers proposed various methods to predict the API based on previous observed data. On the other hand, however, missing of the observed data always occurs in practice and it may deteriorate the prediction performance. How to handle the missing data is often a challenge in API forecasting. This paper presents a method for pre-processing the missing observed data by adopting the multiple imputation technique for Macau API prediction using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The forecasting performance after missing data pre-processing is compared with the conventional case without pre-processing and the results in terms of the root mean square error (RMSE) shows effectiveness in API forecasting against nine-years measured data in the Macau City.
机译:最近,由于经济学的快速发展,城市和工业区的一个重要问题,已经研究了越来越多的空气污染概念,因此预测空气污染指数(API)变得越来越重要。在过去的几十年中,研究人员提出了各种方法来基于先前观察到的数据来预测API。然而,另一方面,缺少观察到的数据总是在实践中发生,并且它可能会降低预测性能。如何处理缺失的数据通常是API预测中的挑战。本文通过采用自适应神经模糊推理系统(ANFIS)采用澳门API预测的多重估算技术,提出了一种预处理缺失观察数据的方法。将数据预处理丢失后的预测性能与传统情况进行比较而无需预处理,并且根均方误差(RMSE)的结果显示API预测对澳门市九年测量数据的有效性。

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