Risk-based Planning of Radial Distribution Networks with Distributed Generation and Demand Response in the Presence of Uncertainty

摘要

This paper proposes a procedure for distribution network planning in the presence of variability and uncertainty in loads and distribution generation. The proposed procedure is based on fuzzy set concept, fuzzy mixed integer linear programming model and risk management analyses. It enables a large number of expansion plans to be obtained and evaluated by employing an appropriate tool for measuring and managing risk and by taking into account the existing and the future demand response programs. Thus, the suggested procedure provides the decision-maker with a means for determination of the expansion plan that will respond in the most efficient way whatever future occur.