INTEGRATION OF PLANNING MODELS IN THE RESTRUCTURED ELECTRICITY SECTOR IN EGYPT - A CASE STUDY FOR RESOURCE PLAN INTEGRATION AND ANN-BASED EVALUATION

摘要

This paper reviews the development of the organizational structure of the electricity sector in Egypt during the past three decades and describes the current planning process along with the available planning models. A proposed planning methodology using the available planning models addressing both supply side and demand side resources is introduced. A case study for the power system long term generation expansion planning employing the proposed methodology is presented. Different integrated plans representing different mix of supply and demand resources are developed. The plans are evaluated using the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method based on different criteria such as plan cost, reliability and uncertainty.