Terror Attack Risk Analysis: Study on Eastern Turkistan Issue

摘要

For the purpose to avoid being monitored and tracked by the security services, terrorists usually take advantage of alternative forms of network architecture, to operate a terror attack by means of emergent swarm cluster developed through percolation of passive supporters. Conventional counter-terrorism forces such as military and police will face a greater challenge in trying to neutralize the terrorism action with multi-originated feature. By using physics concept of percolation, Eastern Turkistan terrorism issue was chosen as a case to simulate and analyze the evolution mechanism of a given regional terror attack threat. The explanation in theory reveals that it is feasible to mitigate terror attack risk by non-destructive tool.