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EVALUATION OF THE PREDIKTOR WIND POWER FORECASTING SYSTEM IN IRELAND

机译:评估爱尔兰预测风电预测系统

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This paper describes a project to (i) implement on a trial basis and (ii) evaluate the performance of, the Prediktor wind power forecasting system for a selection of wind farms in Ireland. The need for a wind power forecasting system in the context of the planned increased penetration of wind power into the Irish electricity supply system is identified. The main features of the Prediktor wind power forecasting system, which is based largely on physical modeling techniques, are briefly outlined. The trial implementation of Prediktor applied to 15 Irish wind farms is described. The performance of Prediktor is then evaluated using a simple persistence forecast as a benchmark. This is done for both individual wind farms and for aggregated geographic groupings of wind farms. Conclusions are drawn and areas for further work are identified.
机译:本文介绍了(i)申请的项目,(i)在试验基础上实施,(ii)评估泼妇风电预测系统的绩效,为爱尔兰选择风电场。鉴定了在计划增加风力渗透到爱尔兰电力供应系统的情况下对风力预测系统的需求。简要概述了Prediktor风电预测系统的预测系统的主要特征,概述了基于物理建模技术。据描述了泼妇的试验实施,应用于15个爱尔兰风电场。然后使用简单的持久预测作为基准评估Prediktor的性能。这是为单独的风电场和风电场的聚合地理分组完成的。得出结论,并确定了进一步工作的区域。

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