Test and Evaluation Evolutionary Modeling and Simulation Accreditation Approach For the Ballistic Missile Defense System

摘要

The multi-service Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Operational Test Agency (OTA) Team provides independent Operational Assessments (OAs) of the BMDS capability to defend the United States, its deployed forces, friends and allies against ballistic missiles of all ranges and in all phases of flight. The Ballistic Missile Defense System is an integrated, 'layered" architecture of ground- and sea-based interceptor missiles that provides multiple opportunities to destroy missiles and their warheads before they can reach their targets. The independent OA provides an annual snapshot of the system capabilities and limitations based on the testing that has been conducted throughout the year. Due to the inherent limitations of real-world data, modeling and simulation (M&S) is a necessary component to provide comprehensive OAs. The overarching challenge is the accreditation of M&S representing element, component, and overall system capabilities across a multinational/multiservice system of systems in a spiral development process of technology insertions and fielding. The BMDS OTA Team has designed a proven approach and process in accordance with Department of Defense (DoD) related instructions and guidance to determine the credibility of the results from designated M&S. This document focuses on the BMDS OTA W&A approach that includes analysis and derivation of acceptance criteria leading to an accreditation of element, component, and system M&S. This document also identifies evolutionary improvements being considered for the current approach.