Application of Neural Network to One-Day-Ahead 24 hours Generating Power Forecasting for Photovoltaic System

摘要

In recent years, introduction of an alternative energy source such as solar energy is expected. However, insolation is not constant and output of photovoltaic (PV) system is influenced by meteorological conditions. In order to predict the power output for PV system as accurate as possible, it requires method of insolation estimation. In this paper, the authors take the insolation of each month into consideration, and confirm the validity of using neural network to predict one-day-ahead 24 hours insolation by computer simulations. The proposed method in this paper does not require complicated calculation and mathematical model with only meteorological data.