Sustainable Development Goal Attainment Prediction: A Hierarchical Framework using Time Series Modelling

摘要

A framework is presented which can be used to forecast weather an individual geographic area will meet its UN Sustainable Development Goals, or not, at some time t. The framework comprises a bottom up hierarchical classification system where the leaf nodes hold forecast models and the intermediate nodes and root node "logical and" operators. Features of the framework include the automated generation of the: associated taxonomy, the threshold values with which leaf node prediction values will be compared and the individual forecast models. The evaluation demonstrates that the proposed framework can be successfully employed to predict whether individual geographic areas will meet their SDGs.