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Estimations of Indonesian poor people as poverty reduction efforts facing industrial revolution 4.0

机译:印度尼西亚贫困人士视为减贫努力,面临工业革命4.0

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Indonesia is one of the developing countries that have serious problems with poverty.The still many poor people in Indonesia encourage the government to make and determine the right policies so that the problem of poverty can be overcome and not drag on.Therefore,the authors conducted this study to try to help the government conduct an analysis in predicting the level of development of the poor in Indonesia.The prediction method used is the Bayesian Regulation artificial neural network.This method is a development of the backpropagation method that is often used to predict data.The data used are data on poor people in Indonesia in 2012-2018,which are sourced from the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics.Based on this data a network architecture model will be formed and determined using the Bayesian Regulation method,including 10-5-10-2,10-10-10-2,10-10-15-2,10-10-20-2,10-15-10-2,10-15-15-2,10-15-20-2,10-20-20-2,10-25-25-2 and 10-30-30-2.From these 10 models after training and testing,the results show that the best architectural model is 10-25-25-2.The accuracy of the architectural models is 94.1% and 61.8% with MSE values of 0,00013571 and 0,00005189.The results of this study are the prediction of the poor for the next 5 years.
机译:印度尼西亚是贫困问题严重问题的发展中国家之一。印度尼西亚的许多穷人鼓励政府制定和确定正确的政策,以便可以克服贫困问题并没有拖累。因此,作者进行了这项研究试图帮助政府对印度尼西亚穷人的发展水平进行分析。使用的预测方法是贝叶斯调节人工神经网络。本方法是常用于预测的反向衰减方法的发展数据是2012 - 2018年印度尼西亚穷人的数据,这些数据来自印度尼西亚中央统计局。基于该数据,将使用贝叶斯调节方法形成并确定网络架构模型,包括10- 5-10-2,10-10-10-2,10-10-15-2,10-10-20-2,10-15-10-2,10-15-15-2,10-15- 20-2,10-20-20-2,10-25-25-2和10-30-30-2。通过培训和测试后,这10型型号结果表明,最好的建筑模型是10-25-25-2。建筑模型的准确性为94.1%和61.8%,MSE值为0,00013571和0,00005189.本研究的结果是预测未来5年的穷人。

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