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MORE CYCLING OR MORE CYCLISTS – DYNAMICS AND POTENTIALS OF BICYCLE USE IN GERMANY BY A CLUSTER BASED APPROACH

机译:更多骑自行车或更多骑自行车者 - 通过基于群集的方法 - 德国自行车使用的动力学和潜力

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Is the bicycle primarily a common mode of transport or rather a leisure item? Previous research found an increasing bicycle use in Germany; however details on the development of bicycle use intensities, the stability of bicycle mode choice and thus the future potentials of additional cycle use are still open issues. We analyzed changes in cycle use intensity and intrapersonal variation of mode choice in Germany by examining mobility behavior data covering a longitudinal perspective over 15 years as well as the mobility behavior of one week and the intrapersonal variation between two years. These three relevant layers of information allow a detailed evaluation of bicycle use profiles. We investigated the temporal development of socio-demographic structures and bicycle mobility patterns in five pre-clustered cycle intensity groups. In addition, the panel characteristics of the data allow an estimation of stability in the decision to use the bicycle between survey weeks in consecutive years. The results indicate increases in diversified use patterns of cycling. The group of heavy users, especially bicycle commuters, increases, but also their daily usage intensity grows. Thus, we show how more cyclists with more cycling increase the popularity of the bicycle in Germany.
机译:自行车主要是一种共同的运输方式还是休闲物品?以前的研究发现德国的自行车使用越来越多;然而,有关自行车使用强度的开发的详细信息,自行车模式选择的稳定性,因此额外循环使用的未来潜力仍然是开放的问题。通过检查覆盖纵向观点的移动性行为数据超过15年的移动性行为数据以及两年间的迁移行为,分析了德国的循环使用强度和模式选择的变化。这三个相关的信息层允许详细评估自行车使用型材。我们调查了在五个预聚类循环强度组中的社会人口统计学结构和自行车流动模式的时间发展。此外,数据的面板特性允许在决定中估算在连续几年在调查周之间使用自行车的稳定性。结果表明了多元化使用模式的循环模式的增加。一群重型用户,尤其是自行车通勤者,增加,但它们的日常使用强度增长。因此,我们展示了更多骑自行车者如何增加德国自行车的普及。

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