TRAFFIC TIME SERIES FORECASTING BY FEEDFORWARD NEURAL NETWORK: A CASE STUDY BASED ON TRAFFIC DATA OF MONROE

摘要

Short time prediction is one of the most important factors in intelligence transportation system (ITS). In this research, the use of feed forward neural network for traffic time-series prediction is presented. In this paper, the traffic in one direction of the road segment is predicted. The input of the neural network is the time delay data exported from the road traffic data of Monroe city. The time delay data is used for training the network. For generating the time delay data, the traffic data related to the first 300 days of 2008 is used. The performance of the feed forward neural network model is validated using the real observation data of the 301st day.