Land Use and Land Cover Change and Prediction Analysis in Inle Lake Watershed, Myanmar

摘要

Inle Lake region is one of the most important watershed area in Myanmar and is located between 96°46'-97° .09' E longitude and 20°05'-21°17'N Latitude, covered the area of 4354 49 sq. km. Even though the region has been changed significantly, Inle Lake has high attractive to tourist attraction and has included as tentative list for UNESCO world heritage sites since 1996 In order to obtain information about physical environment dynamic and ecosystem change in the Inle Lake watershed, this study aims to analyst and discuss Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) changes and imminent prediction. Landsat 5 and Landsat 8 datasets were used to classify the watershed landscape for 2005. 2010 and 2015.The classification included eight classes; agricultural area, closed forest, opened forest, wooded land, water body, floating garden, urban and bare land CA- Markov model was used to predict LULC change and distribution in 2015 and 2025 based on the result of LULC in 2005, 2010 datasets and LULC in 2005, 2015 datasets, respectively The wall to wall assessment was successfully generated in predicting LULC distribution, in 2015 and the results were comparable to the classification of LULC in 2015. Number of sample size for thematic accuracy assessment was estimated based on multinomial distribution with stratified random sampling scheme and 757 points were used for the sample size LULC classification maps produced overall accuracy of more than 85%. LULC change detection of Inle Lake watershed was assessed based on the classified images in 2005-2010. 2010-2015 and 2015 to 2025. The change detection matrix was performed to obtain the final results which can provide useful information for policy makers, researcher and local government agencies to create an effective decision plan