Facilitating Consistent Siting Hazard Distance Predictions Using the TNO Multi-Energy Model

摘要

Facility Siting has received considerable attention in recent years. There are a number of generally accepted simplified methods for the prediction of vapor cloud explosion (VCE) blast loads, one of which is the TNO Multi-Energy Model (MEM). TNO has provided guidance for the application of the MEM based partially on the RIGOS, GAME and GAMES programs. However, the guidance involves physical parameters which can be hard to estimate, and to which the blast load predictions are fairly sensitive. The consistency with which different analysts can estimate these parameters is therefore a significant issue. This paper presents an approach to improve the consistency in TNO MEM blast load predictions by improving the consistency with which several key parameters are estimated.