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COMPARING THE BAYESIAN AND LIKELIHOOD APPROACHES TO INFERENCE: A GRAPHICAL APPROACH

机译:比较贝叶斯和似然方法推断:一种图形方法

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Both likelihood inference and Bayesian inference arise from a surface defined on the inference universe which is the Cartesian product of the parameter space and the sample space. Likelihood inference uses the sampling surface which is a probability distribution in the sampling dimension only. Bayesian inference uses the joint probability distribution defined on the inference universe The likelihood function and the Bayesian posterior distribution come from cutting the respective surfaces with a (hyper)plane parallel to the parameter space and through the observed sample values. Unlike the likelihood function, the posterior distribution always will be a probability distribution. This is responsible for the different choices of estimators, and the different way the two approaches have of dealing with nuisance parameters. In this paper we present a graphical approach for teaching the difference between the two approaches.
机译:似然推理和贝叶斯推断都是由在推理宇宙上定义的表面的表面出现,这是参数空间和样本空间的笛卡尔乘积。 似然推断使用采样表面,其仅是采样尺寸的概率分布。 贝叶斯推断使用在推理宇宙上定义的联合概率分布,似然函数和贝叶斯后部分布通过与参数空间平行的(超)平面和通过观察到的样本值来切割相应的表面。 与可能性函数不同,后部分布始终将是概率分布。 这是对估计的不同选择,以及两种方法处理滋扰参数的不同方式。 在本文中,我们提出了一种教导两种方法之间差异的图形方法。

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