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Method for the reduction of analytical weight estimation models for the use in early project phases

机译:用于减少早期项目阶段的分析重量估计模型的方法

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Weight estimation is a very important topic during all phases of aircraft development. It is indispensible for the estimation of loads and aircraft inertias to have a funded estimation of the weight of the aircraft's components and the position of their center of gravity. A realistic estimation can be quite complicated especially during very early stages of aircraft development. Additionally, due to the increasing level of available information on the new design, it is necessary to change the method and tool for the estimation during the development process. However, this change of methodology cannot inflict major changes on the estimated weight for a specific component. Neither can it change the sensitivities of the component's weight to the main sizing parameters. It is important to guarantee the continuity of the estimation and the sensitivities over the whole tool chain. This paper shows a top down approach to the development of weight estimation methods for very early project phases. In order to being able to guarantee the continuity of the estimation, the model for early phases is developed as a reduced model of an existing high level analytical estimation tool. Through statistical analysis the main driving parameters of the top level method are determined. A reduced model is being developed based on those parameters and the sensitivities of the top model with respect to those parameters. This way both, the continuity of the estimated weight and the continuity of the major sensitivities between the reduced and the top level model, can be guaranteed. The methodology is described theoretically and applied to the estimation of the pylon primary structure weight. This component is very important for trade off studies in early phases with respect to the engine position. Therefore it is necessary to have good sensitivities for this estimation method. For the model reduction process itself a mathematical and a physical approach have been performed and the results analyzed and compared. Finally, the paper gives methods for checking the correct modeling of the major sensitivities compared to the top level tool.
机译:体重估计是飞机开发的所有阶段的一个非常重要的话题。估计负载和飞机惯性是必不可少的,以获得飞机部件的重量和其重心的位置的资助估计。在非常早期的飞机开发期间,实际估计可能非常复杂。此外,由于新设计的可用信息水平的增加,有必要在开发过程中改变估计的方法和工具。然而,这种方法的变化不能造成特定组成部分的估计权重的重大变化。它也不能将组件权重的敏感性改为主要尺寸参数。重要的是保证估计的连续性和整个工具链中的敏感性。本文显示了对非常早期项目阶段的重量估计方法的开发的顶级方法。为了能够保证估计的连续性,开发了早期阶段的模型作为现有高级分析估计工具的缩小模型。通过统计分析,确定顶级方法的主要驱动参数。基于关于这些参数的那些参数和敏感性开发了一种减少的模型。这样,可以保证估计重量和降低和顶级模型之间的主要敏感性的连续性的连续性。理论上描述了方法,并应用于塔主结构重量的估计。该组件对于对发动机位置的早期阶段进行贸易研究非常重要。因此,有必要对该估计方法具有良好的敏感性。对于模型减少过程本身,已经进行了数学和物理方法,并分析并比较结果。最后,本文给出了与顶级工具相比检查了主要敏感性的正确建模的方法。

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