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Multi-Stage Reliability-Based Design Optimization for Aerospace System Conceptual Design

机译:基于多级可靠性的航空航天系统概念设计设计优化

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A new proposal for formulating Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO) problems, named Multi-Stage Reliability-Based Design Optimization (MSRBDO) approach, is presented. The classical RBDO formulation determines all decision variables "here and now" in the presence of uncertainty. Nevertheless, in many complex systems design applications, the product development process gradually evolves through time, and decisions at the ensuing milestones are made on the basis of increased knowledge on previously uncertain factors. If the holdup leading to such informed resolutions is deemed acceptable to the decision maker, then it would be advantageous to "wait and see" how the less urgent design issues run their course until more concrete insights on the relevant uncertain parameters are obtained. This paper describes how the proposed MSRBDO approach is capable of accounting for such follow-on corrective decisions based on the partial realizations of random parameters at selected stages along the engineering design process, thereby further enhancing the practicality of RBDO.
机译:提出了一种制定可靠性的设计优化(RBDO)问题的新提案,提出了名为基于多级可靠性的设计优化(MSRBDO)方法。古典RBDO制剂在存在不确定性的情况下,确定了所有决策变量“此处”。然而,在许多复杂的系统设计应用中,产品开发过程逐渐通过时间演变,并在随后的里程碑的决策是在提高以前不确定因素的增加的基础上进行的。如果持有导致此类知情决议的持有人被认为是可接受的决策者,那么“等待”并“等待”是有利的,即在获得对相关不确定参数的更具体的识别之前,迫切性的设计问题如何运行较低的迫切设计问题。本文介绍了所提出的MSRBDO方法能够基于沿着工程设计过程的所选阶段的随机参数的部分实现来核算这种后续校正决策,从而进一步提高了RBDO的实用性。

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