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Patterns in the collective behavior of humans

机译:人类集体行为的模式

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Can we reliably predict and quantitatively describe how large groups of people behave? Here we discuss an emerging approach to this problem which is based on the quantitative methods of statistical physics. We demonstrate that in cases when the interactions between the members of a group are relatively well defined (e.g, pedestrian traffic, synchronization, panic) the corresponding models reproduce relevant aspects of the observed phenomena. In particular, people moving in the same environment typically develop specific patterns of collective motion including the formation of lanes, flocking or jamming at bottlenecks. We simulate such phenomena assuming realistic interactions between particles representing humans. The two specific cases to be discussed in more detail are waves produced by crowds at large sporting events and the main features of pedestrian escape panic under various conditions. Our models allow the prediction of crowd behavior even in cases when experimental methods are obviously not applicable and, thus, are expected to be useful in assessing the level of security in situations involving large groups of excited people.
机译:我们可以可靠地预测和定量描述大群人的表现吗?在这里,我们讨论了这个问题的新出现方法,这是基于统计物理学的定量方法。我们证明,在组成员之间的相互作用是相对明确的(例如,行人交通,同步,恐慌)的情况下,相应的模型再现观察到的现象的相关方面。特别是,在相同环境中移动的人通常会培养特定的集体运动模式,包括形成车道,在瓶颈处形成植物。假设代表人类的粒子之间的现实相互作用,我们模拟这种现象。更详细地讨论的两个具体案件是人群在大型体育赛事中产生的波浪,以及在各种条件下行人逃生恐慌的主要特征。我们的模型即使在实验方法显然不适用的情况下,也允许预测人群行为,因此预计将有助于评估涉及大型兴奋人群的情况下的安全水平。

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