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A PARTICIPATORY DSS CONCEPT FOR WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT

机译:用于水资源管理的参与式DSS概念

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Water resources management involves complicated social, organizational, legal and economical issues in addition to the undoubtedly important technical matters and environmental aspects. Management decisions have potential to be controversial because the involved groups (ecologists, economists, hydrologists and sociologists) hold distinct interests and unique objectives. Therefore, the development of decision support systems (DSS) faces great difficulties not only because of the multiple objective and multiple participant decision making situation but also due to the complexity of participating an team interdisciplinary in the modelling processes. For instance, while ecologists use natural languages and qualitative reasoning for the description of ecological relationships, hydrologists communicate in the form of systems of differential equations or analytical models. The proposed concept suggests to identify specific performance indicators to quantify the multiple objectives and assess the management scenarios under investigation. The indicators are classified into ecological, economical, social and technical indicators. To overcome the problem of multiple participant, the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is implemented to assign weights to the involved decision makers with respect to their experience and background. The management scenarios will be assessed and ranked according to the predefined performance indicators with respect to the opinion of decision makers taking into consideration their assigned weights. Fuzzy logic (FL) is used to facilitate transformation of qualitative knowledge into mathematical assessment models. FL is also implemented to model and aggregate the performance indicators. Finally, the paper introduces a case study for implementing this concept for the management of irrigation schemes.
机译:水资源管理涉及到的无疑是重要的技术问题和环境方面,除了社会,组织,法律和经济的问题复杂化。管理决策有潜力成为有争议的,因为涉及的群体(生态学家,经济学家,水文学家和社会学家)持有不同的利益和独特的目标。因此,决策支持系统的开发(DSS)面临的不仅是因为多目标,多参与决策的情况,但也因在建模过程中参与的跨学科团队的复杂性很大的困难。例如,虽然生态学家使用自然语言和定性推理的生态关系的描述,水文学家在微分方程或分析模型系统的沟通形式。所提出的概念建议,以确定具体的性能指标来量化多个目标,并正在调查评估管理方案。该指标分为生态,经济,社会和技术指标。为了克服多个参与者的问题,层次分析法(AHP)的实施,以分配权重所涉及的决策者对于他们的经验和背景。该管理方案将根据关于考虑到他们指定的权重决策者的意见预先给定的性能指标进行评估和排名。模糊逻辑(FL)被用于促进定性知识转化为数学评估模型。 FL还被实现为模型,汇总各项性能指标。最后,本文介绍了实施这一概念灌溉系统的管理案例研究。

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