Analysis on Future Trend of Energy Demand in Residential Building of Jilin Province, China

摘要

The research investigated and analyzed the current condition of urban and rural residential energy consumption of Jilin province china, structured a projection model of residential energy demand, prognosticated lesidential energy demand by demand types and Environmental loading of Jilin province until 2020. Compare with the 2000, the rural residential energy demand will reduce approximately 25% in 2020. primarily reason is the decrease of rural population per households and total households; The urban residential energy demand will grow to about 2.5 times in 2020, the primary reason is the increase of urban population and the rising of standard of living standard. At the same time, compare with 2000. the CO_2 emission of the rural residential energy consumption will grow approximately 10% in 2020. the primary reason is the increase of rural residential electricity consumption: the CO_2 emission of the urban residential energy consumption will grow to about 3 times in 2020, the primary reason is the increase of urban residential energy consumption.