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Elicitation and Validation of graphical Dependability Models

机译:阐述图形可靠性模型

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We discuss elicitation and validation of graphical dependency models of dependability assessment of complex, computer-based systems. Graphical (in) dependency models are network-graph representations of the assumed conditional dependences (statistical associations) of multivariate probability distributions. These powerfully 'visual', yet mathematically formal, representations have been studied theoretically, and applied in varied contexts, mainly during the last 15 years. Here, we explore the application of recent Markov equivalence theory, of such graphical models, to elicitation and validation of dependability assessment expertise. We propose to represent experts' statements by the class of all Markov non-equivalent graphical models consistent with those statements. For any one of these models, we can produce alternative, but formally Markov equivalent, graphical representations. Comparing different graphical models highlights subsets of their underlying assumptions.
机译:我们讨论了复杂,基于计算机系统可靠性评估的图形依赖模型的elication和验证。图形(IN)依赖模型是多变量概率分布的假定条件依赖(统计关联)的网络图表示。从理论上,这些有力地“视觉”,但数学上正式的表示,并在不同的背景下应用于过去15年。在这里,我们探讨了最近的马尔可夫等效理论,这些图形模型的应用,以引发和验证可靠性评估专业知识。我们建议通过与这些陈述一致的所有马尔可夫非等效图形模型的类别代表专家的陈述。对于这些模型中的任何一个,我们可以产生替代,但正式马尔可夫等价物,图形表示。比较不同的图形模型突出显示其潜在假设的子集。

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