首页> 外文会议>NATO/CCMS international technical meeting on air pollution modelling and its application >APPLYING RISK ASSESSMENT TECHNIQUES TO AIR POLLUTION MODELLING ABATEMENT STRATEGIES
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APPLYING RISK ASSESSMENT TECHNIQUES TO AIR POLLUTION MODELLING ABATEMENT STRATEGIES

机译:将风险评估技术应用于空气污染建模与减排策略

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It is hoped that the two case studies considered above have illustrated how HAZOP techniques as part of a formal risk assessment, can be useful as a systematic way of examining model functioning and assumptions when used in assessment of air quality problems. These techniques go beyond the traditional methods such as Monte-Carlo analysis, in addressing what is not covered in the models as well as questioning the representation and parameterisation of what is included. They point towards potential hazards for the decision maker in using the results from a model, and to priority areas for further research. They also provide a framework for linking what are inevitably simplified models in looking at a wide range of possible scenarios in assessing abatement strategies, to a hierarchy of more detailed and sophisticated research concerning the aspects identified. It is suggested that the approach illustrated could usefully provide an appendix to many reports on environmental assessment based on numerical models!
机译:希望上面考虑的两种案例研究表明了HATP技术如何作为正式风险评估的一部分,作为在评估空气质量问题时检查模型功能和假设的系统方法。这些技术超出了传统方法,如Monte-Carlo分析,在寻址模型中未涵盖的内容以及质疑所包括的内容和参数化。他们指出了决策者使用模型的结果,以及进一步研究的优先领域的潜在危害。他们还提供了一个框架,用于将不可避免的简化模型联系起来,在评估减排策略方面的广泛可能的情景中,对所识别的各个方面的更详细和复杂的研究的层次结构。建议说明的方法可以利用基于数值模型的对环境评估的许多报告提供附录!

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