MANAGERIAL DECISIONS ABOUT ALTERNATIVE AUTOMATIC EQUIPMENT FOR DISASTER MANAGEMENT IN CONSTRUCTION

摘要

The choice among alternative automatic equipment used to protect the construction site against major accidents is considered. Methods of multi-attribute selection are suggested to implement the choice. This includes attributes accounting for the possibility of failure of the automatic equipment (safety-related attributes). The epistemic uncertainty in the safety-related attributes is quantified by means Bayesian analysis. Prior or posterior probability distributions of safety-related attributes developed during this analysis are used as input data for the multi-attribute selection.