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Detecting Seasonal Trends and Cluster Motion Visualization for Very High Dimensional Transactional Data

机译:检测非常高维事务数据的季节性趋势和群集运动可视化

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Real life transactional data often poses challenges such as very large size, high dimensionality, skewed distribution, sparsity, seasonal variations and market-drift or migration [1, 2]. Most studies have taken a static view of the data while making predictions about a customer's buying behavior, market segmentation, etc. [3, 4]. A notable exception is recent work on temporal association rule mining, dealing with incremental characteristics and change, for example, see [5, 6]. This paper focusses on the problem of segmenting customers visiting a rapidly growing e-tailer. The segments are dynamic and seasonal, so preprocessing and trend characterization is key. We use a real-life data belonging to an e-commerce business and referred to as Horizon data in this paper, provided by KD1 (since then acquired by Net Perceptions) to illustrate the issues. In Section 2, the Horizon data is summarized. Section 3 quantifies market migration for choosing the appropriate period of data. Based on seasonal variations in purchasing behavior, a novel seasonality detection and partitioning scheme is described. Some of the market migration and oscillation results on Horizon data are also presented. Section 4 describes a new concept called Cluster Space for converting this high dimensional (> 10, 000) data into a continuous low dimensional space using a graph based clustering called VBACC [7] on the seasonally partitioned data. Motion detection and visualization schemes are introduced, and some interesting trends found in the Horizon data are described. A note on Market vs. Customer Migration: For our discussion we define market migration as a non-periodic change in the product purchase distribution for all the customers. Customer migration is another trend in which the purchase profile of a customer changes with time and may or may not be periodic over long periods. It is important to note that although a customer might migrate to a new set of products with time, new customers might replace him. Thus, it is possible to have substantial customer migration without corresponding market migration. A model is meaningful only for the period for which the market profile is reasonably stable, i.e the market migration is not substantial. In such a period it is useful to look at customer migration since the customer migration often happens faster than market migration.
机译:现实生活交易数据往往造成诸如大尺寸,高度,偏斜分布,稀疏性,季节性变化和市场漂移或迁移的挑战,如非常大的大小,高度,偏斜,偏移或迁移[1,2]。大多数研究已经对数据静态进行了静态视图,同时预测客户的购买行为,市场细分等[3,4]。值得注意的例外是最近关于时间关联规则挖掘的工作,处理增量特性和变更,例如,参见[5,6]。本文侧重于将客户分组的问题,即迅速增长的电子拖车。这些段是动态和季节性的,因此预处理和趋势表征是关键。我们使用属于电子商务业务的现实生活数据,并在本文中称为地平线数据,由KD1提供(自净认知以来获取)提供了阐述问题。在第2节中,总结了地平线数据。第3节量化市场迁移以选择适当的数据期。基于采购行为的季节变化,描述了一种新的季节性检测和分区方案。还提出了一些市场迁移和振荡​​导致地平线数据。第4节描述了一种名为群集空间的新概念,用于使用季节性分区数据上的基于族的群集将此高维(> 10,000)数据转换为连续的低维空间。介绍了运动检测和可视化方案,描述了地平线数据中发现的一些有趣趋势。市场上的一个注释与客户迁移:为了我们的讨论,我们将市场迁移定义为所有客户的产品购买分配的非定期变化。客户迁移是另一个趋势,其中客户随时间的时间变化,可能或可能不会长期定期。重要的是要注意,虽然客户可能会随着时间的推移迁移到一套新的产品,但新客户可能会取代他。因此,在没有相应的市场迁移的情况下可以具有大量的客户迁移。对于市场概况合理稳定的时期,模型仅有意义,即市场迁移并不重要。在这样的时间内,从客户迁移通常比市场迁移更快地发生客户迁移,它很有用。

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