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Periodic-CRN: A Convolutional Recurrent Model for Crowd Density Prediction with Recurring Periodic Patterns

机译:定期CRN:具有经常性周期模式的人群密度预测卷积复制模型

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Time-series forecasting in geo-spatial domains has important applications, including urban planning, traffic management and behavioral analysis. We observed recurring periodic patterns in some spatio-temporal data, which were not considered explicitly by previous non-linear works. To address this lack, we propose novel 'Periodic-CRN' (PCRN) method, which adapts convolutional recurrent network (CRN) to accurately capture spatial and temporal correlations, learns and incorporates explicit periodic representations, and can be optimized with multi-step ahead prediction. We show that PCRN consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art methods for crowd density prediction across two taxi datasets from Beijing and Singapore.
机译:地理空间域的时间系列预测具有重要的应用,包括城市规划,交通管理和行为分析。我们在一些时空数据中观察到重复的周期性模式,这些数据不会被之前的非线性工作明确地考虑。为了解决这种缺乏,我们提出了新颖的“定期CRN”(PCRN)方法,它适应卷积经常性网络(CRN)来准确地捕获空间和时间相关性,学习和包含明确的周期性表示,并且可以通过前进的多步骤优化预言。我们表明,PCRN始终如一地优于来自北京和新加坡的两个出租车数据集的人群密度预测的最先进的方法。

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