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A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF FEEDFORWARD AND RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORKS MODELS IN COMPRESED SALES-INVENTORIES PREDICTION

机译:销售存货预测中的馈电和经常性神经网络模型的比较分析

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We propose to show that compressed sales data obtained from less that 5% of sales discrete cosine transform coefficients are a statistically accurate predictor of inventories' future behavior. The focused time-lagged feedforward network (TLFN) and recurrent neural networks (RNN) models were used to carry out the experiment. Their results were compared to each other as well as to similar work, using uncompressed sales, previously done by the authors. The prediction accuracy was substantiated with root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient statistical tests that showed that compressed sales were a sufficient and statistically accurate predictor of aggregate inventories' future behavior. In the prediction, TLFN models performed relatively better than the RNN models and the best out-of-sample predictions were obtained using windowed forecasting. The results obtained with compressed sales as the predictor of inventories were better than those obtained in the authors' previous work wherein uncompressed sales were the predictor.
机译:我们建议表明从销售离散余弦变换系数的5%的压缩销售数据是一种统计上准确的库存预测因素的库存的未来行为。聚焦的时间滞后前馈网络(TLFN)和经常性神经网络(RNN)模型用于进行实验。他们的结果彼此相比,以及使用作者之前完成的未压缩销售的类似工作。预测准确性具有根均方误差(RMSE)和相关系数统计测试,表明压缩销售额是总体库存的足够且统计准确的预测因子。在预测中,TLFN模型比RNN模型相对较好,并且使用窗口预测获得了最佳的样本预测。通过压缩销售获得的结果,因为存货预测器比作者以前的工作中获得的那些更好,其中未压缩销售是预测因子。

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