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System Dynamics applied to Modelling and Simulation of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemiology

机译:应用于脚口病流行病学建模与仿真的系统动力学

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The present research consists of an application of System Dynamics in the study of the foot-and-mouth disease epidemiology. The objective of this proposal is to contemplate the most important dynamizing factors that participate in the phenomenon and build a structure with an insertion of these elements in a global environment context in time and spaces determined. The result of this application is a mathematical simulation model that converts in a useful tool for supporting the generation of strategies prevention and control, aimed at Foot-and-Mouth disease eradication. The proposal based on the systemic approach presents the three subsystems that intervene in the dynamic behaviour of foot-and-mouth disease called infectious agent, in this case a virus, the susceptible guest in this case bovine population and the physical, biological and socioeconomical environment and interactions existing between these subsystems. The model performed with the help of simulation software EVOLUTION 2.0a allows the establisment of different stages in accordance with production systems that determine several Foot-and-mouth disease ecosystems. In ddition, the efficiency of applying control policies can be seen by means of the simulation models.
机译:本研究包括系统动态在脚口病流行病学研究中的应用。该提议的目的是考虑参与现象的最重要的动态因子,并在全球环境中,在时间和空间中在全球环境中,在全球环境中插入这些元素的结构。本申请的结果是一种数学仿真模型,可转换为支持策略预防和控制产生的有用工具,旨在根除口蹄疫。基于全身方法的提议介绍了三种子系统,干预患有传染病的脚口病的动态行为,在这种情况下,这种情况下是病毒,在这种情况下,易感客人牛群和物理,生物和社会经济环境和这些子系统之间存在的交互。在仿真软件演化2.0A的帮助下执行的模型允许根据确定几个口腔疾病生态系统的生产系统建立不同阶段。在DDITION中,可以通过模拟模型看到应用控制策略的效率。

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