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Crowdfunding Public Projects with Provision Point: A Prediction Market Approach

机译:众区具有提供点的公共项目:预测市场方法

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Crowdfunding is emerging as a popular means to generate funding from citizens for public projects. This is popularly known as civic crowdfunding. In this paper, we focus on crowdfunding public projects with provision point: these are projects in which contributions must reach a predetermined threshold in order for the project to be provisioned. On web based civic crowdfunding platforms, the success of crowdfunding public projects has been somewhat mixed. In this paper, our objective is to design a mechanism that improves the success of crowdfunding public projects. In particular, we propose a class of mechanisms for crowdfunding platforms with sequentially arriving agents. This class of mechanisms induces an extensive form game for agents arriving on the platform and we show that the game has a non-empty set of sub-game perfect equilibria at which the project is fully funded. We call this new class of mechanisms Provision Point Mechanism with Securities (PPS). The novelty of PPS lies in the use of a prediction market to incentivize agents to contribute in proportion to their true value for the project and to contribute as soon as they arrive at the crowdfunding platform. Different variations of PPS are possible depending on the underlying prediction market. In this paper, we use a cost function (or equivalently, scoring rule) based prediction market; in fact, we specify the requirements that a cost function should satisfy to be used in PPS. We study and compare two specific instances of PPS: (1) Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule based and (2) Quadratic Scoring Rule based. We also discuss the considerations that should guide the choice of the cost function when deploying our mechanism on crowdfunding platforms.
机译:Crowdfunding正在成为一种流行的手段,为公民提供公共项目的资金。这是普遍称为公民众筹。在本文中,我们专注于具有提供点的众群公共项目:这些是项目,其中贡献必须达到预定阈值,以便提供项目。在基于Web的市民众筹平台上,众筹公共项目的成功已经有点混合。在本文中,我们的目标是设计一种提高众筹公共项目成功的机制。特别是,我们向一系列具有顺序到达代理商的众筹平台提出了一类机制。这类机制诱导抵达平台的代理商的广泛形式游戏,我们展示了该游戏的非空集团的完美均衡,项目完全资助。我们称之为证券(PPS)的新一类机制提供点机制。 PPS的新颖性在于使用预测市场来激励代理人与其对该项目的真实价值的比例贡献,并在到达众筹平台时贡献。根据底层预测市场,PPS的不同变化是可能的。在本文中,我们使用基于成本函数(或等效,评分规则)的预测市场;实际上,我们指定了成本函数应该满足于PPS的要求。我们研究并比较了两个特定的PPS实例:(1)基于对数的对数次数评分规则和(2)基于二次评分规则。我们还讨论了在将机制部署到众筹平台时应指导成本函数的考虑因素。

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